The Matriarch

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 225 61.78% -12.76% 1e-05 -1.1353 -0.4082
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 335 85.07% 1.67% 0.4124 -0.9303 -0.7286
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 41 80.49% 3.94% 0.55147 -0.3385 0.1546
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 20 70.00% -0.62% 0.9517 -0.5226 0.2693
Akash'Thriya 380 87.37% 3.37% 0.07304 0.1813 -0.0837
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 49 81.63% -0.64% 0.9067 0.2534 -0.1743
Argent Adept 154 77.27% -1.37% 0.67815 -0.194 0.2095
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 34 76.47% -4.28% 0.52671 -0.1607 0.116
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 89 88.76% 6.21% 0.12284 0.1277 0.1809
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 284 87.68% 5.73% 0.01201 -0.5949 -0.5248
Benchmark 117 81.20% 0.31% 0.93157 0.1602 0.1092
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 370 88.92% 6.40% 0.0012 1.2856 0.7902
Bunker 215 61.86% -12.85% 1e-05 -0.813 -0.0563
Bunker: Freedom Five 331 88.82% 6.62% 0.00164 0.3034 0.1749
Bunker: Freedom Six 23 73.91% 1.62% 0.86184 -0.71 -0.196
Bunker: G.I. 49 79.59% 5.36% 0.39063 -0.2528 0.2901
Bunker: Termi-Nation 14 71.43% 8.04% 0.53244 -0.6236 -0.0515
Captain Cosmic 126 57.14% -19.42% 0.0 -1.4399 -0.7903
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 13 53.85% -1.37% 0.92082 -1.2346 -0.1406
Captain Cosmic: Requital 27 88.89% 7.91% 0.29473 0.43 0.4339
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 24 79.17% -1.61% 0.84086 -0.9498 -0.7074
Chrono-Ranger 342 80.12% -2.57% 0.20953 -0.2151 -0.2457
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 53 86.79% 6.10% 0.26026 0.1773 0.3345
Dr. Medico 260 84.62% 1.01% 0.65907 -0.4629 -0.6109
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 45 82.22% -0.38% 0.94584 -0.3011 -0.299
Expatriette 325 69.85% -6.65% 0.00467 -0.3997 0.119
Expatriette: Dark Watch 202 68.81% -4.40% 0.15751 0.0214 0.342
Fanatic 250 74.00% -6.73% 0.00701 -0.1863 -0.0342
Fanatic: Prime Warden 41 90.24% 15.18% 0.02466 0.4006 0.3782
Fanatic: Redeemer 126 69.84% -8.24% 0.02545 0.3037 0.436
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 39 76.92% 10.97% 0.14829 -0.2265 0.1332
Guise 95 54.74% -23.34% 0.0 -0.9839 -0.5675
Guise: Completionist 9 88.89% 12.75% 0.36955 0.1141 0.5554
Guise: Santa 30 86.67% 14.03% 0.08486 0.4337 0.7446
Haka 421 84.56% 3.74% 0.05122 0.1337 0.2499
Haka: Eternal 86 90.70% 8.65% 0.03662 0.6408 0.5987
Haka: Prime Warden 59 88.14% 16.03% 0.00605 0.5774 0.6511
Haka: Xtreme PW 51 84.31% 3.59% 0.51556 0.2979 0.3272
Harpy 153 76.47% -4.28% 0.1792 0.0226 0.3035
Harpy: Dark Watch 117 94.87% 20.93% 0.0 1.0708 0.9393
Idealist 92 83.70% 8.50% 0.05905 0.1272 0.4932
Idealist: Super Sentai 24 83.33% 3.51% 0.66793 0.2962 0.6239
K.N.Y.F.E. 134 76.12% -4.73% 0.16413 -0.1765 0.1802
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 70 81.43% 3.42% 0.48988 -0.2621 -0.0088
La Comodora 124 81.45% -1.02% 0.76568 0.0957 0.0623
La Comodora: Black Spot 72 87.50% 6.16% 0.17985 0.2362 0.0668
Legacy 1268 90.62% 6.40% 0.0 1.4079 0.6905
Legacy: Freedom Five 188 94.68% 8.32% 0.00089 0.9592 -0.0279
Legacy: Greatest 313 94.25% 9.99% 0.0 0.9769 0.1667
Legacy: Young 128 86.72% 4.36% 0.19582 0.7165 0.1154
Lifeline 155 87.10% 5.18% 0.09394 0.72 0.5951
Lifeline: Blood Mage 75 90.67% 6.69% 0.11405 0.6027 0.2069
Luminary 157 83.44% 3.16% 0.32006 -0.2304 -0.2133
Luminary: Heroic 53 86.79% 4.56% 0.38501 0.0678 0.0624
Mainstay 127 83.46% 2.72% 0.43762 0.0539 0.0473
Mainstay: Road Warrior 37 89.19% 9.51% 0.15055 0.5753 0.8425
Mr. Fixer 304 68.75% -11.77% 0.0 -0.6941 -0.4773
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 84 66.67% -1.05% 0.83759 -0.1048 0.0492
Naturalist 109 82.57% -1.36% 0.69964 0.2374 0.1172
Naturalist: Hunted 141 84.40% -0.54% 0.85694 -0.0358 -0.4483
NightMist 231 60.17% -20.44% 0.0 -0.715 -0.514
NightMist: Dark Watch 86 65.12% 1.99% 0.70154 -0.4567 0.3276
Omnitron-X 301 81.06% 0.10% 0.96528 0.018 -0.0521
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 104 87.50% 5.22% 0.16292 0.0764 -0.0276
Parse 94 74.47% -5.39% 0.19237 -0.2556 0.0325
Parse: Fugue State 92 88.04% 4.69% 0.22704 -0.1063 -0.436
Ra 451 83.15% 1.12% 0.53552 -0.2998 -0.0968
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 36 75.00% -4.55% 0.49899 -0.4208 -0.2558
Ra: Setting Sun 45 77.78% -3.10% 0.59659 -0.1027 -0.3403
Scholar 448 86.61% 4.63% 0.01078 0.2275 0.0552
Scholar: Of the Infinite 85 87.06% 3.96% 0.3305 -0.0234 -0.5528
Sentinels 127 85.04% 1.57% 0.63414 0.3088 0.1167
Sentinels: Adamant 54 92.59% 7.69% 0.11455 0.9944 0.4276
Setback 99 63.64% -11.80% 0.00636 -0.6367 -0.4804
Setback: Dark Watch 49 53.06% -11.18% 0.10257 -1.0235 -0.2794
Sky-Scraper 130 71.54% -9.20% 0.00779 -0.1228 -0.2185
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 74 91.89% 10.02% 0.0253 1.0835 0.8014
Stuntman 130 85.38% 4.62% 0.1813 0.3673 0.359
Stuntman: Action Hero 99 92.93% 10.75% 0.00519 0.6512 0.1653
Tachyon 429 65.97% -12.33% 0.0 -0.2397 0.017
Tachyon: Freedom Five 72 80.56% -1.61% 0.72177 0.0666 0.0072
Tachyon: Freedom Six 690 94.78% 7.75% 0.0 1.096 0.3868
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 340 94.12% 10.46% 0.0 1.4471 0.8904
Tempest 989 91.91% 8.18% 0.0 0.7209 0.5656
Tempest: Freedom Six 39 82.05% 14.05% 0.05995 0.0922 0.0995
Tempest: Prime Warden 53 96.23% 13.22% 0.01039 1.0684 0.9458
Tempest: Xtreme PW 77 89.61% 8.85% 0.0488 0.8095 0.8329
Unity 288 81.94% 3.86% 0.11344 -0.1628 0.3286
Unity: Freedom Six 34 82.35% 1.77% 0.79458 -0.3719 -0.047
Unity: Termi-Nation 42 83.33% 7.91% 0.23368 0.1626 0.2995
Visionary 253 68.77% -11.96% 0.0 -0.4948 -0.3658
Visionary: Dark 80 93.75% 12.27% 0.00473 0.959 0.9867
Visionary: Unleashed 74 82.43% -0.12% 0.97763 -0.384 -0.3889
Wraith 605 82.98% 1.99% 0.21336 0.0227 0.1571
Wraith: Freedom Five 84 96.43% 13.10% 0.00128 1.2859 1.0682
Wraith: Freedom Six 83 91.57% 10.61% 0.01383 0.2563 0.3774
Wraith: Rook City 45 73.33% -7.47% 0.20328 -0.1373 0.0084
Writhe 106 78.30% -2.58% 0.49854 0.0588 0.0513
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 61 80.33% -3.03% 0.52577 -0.0917 -0.6516

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 110 87.27% 6.08% 0.10283 0.243 -0.0671
Dok'Thorath Capital 99 87.88% 11.38% 0.00757 0.6042 0.9083
Fort Adamant 74 89.19% 7.39% 0.09954 0.3567 0.1863
Freedom Tower 164 91.46% 7.44% 0.00933 0.5351 0.3547
Insula Primalis 241 74.27% -6.44% 0.01121 -0.6145 -0.0258
Madame Mittermeier's 67 85.07% 4.75% 0.32783 0.2236 0.3991
Maerynian Refuge 82 84.15% 2.83% 0.51042 0.0033 -0.1737
Magmaria 67 88.06% 6.98% 0.14455 0.5129 0.434
Megalopolis 195 67.69% -13.74% 0.0 -0.9551 -0.7229
Mobile Defense Platform 111 90.99% 8.36% 0.02005 0.4602 0.347
Mordengrad 56 75.00% 5.28% 0.38976 -0.6735 0.1584
Nexus of the Void 84 92.86% 6.87% 0.06954 0.9646 0.4416
Omnitron-IV 60 76.67% 0.64% 0.90743 -0.3186 0.1183
Pike Industrial Complex 311 91.96% 11.35% 0.0 0.6492 0.8601
Realm of Discord 464 82.11% -0.61% 0.72866 0.0661 0.1153
Rook City 207 54.11% -8.08% 0.01653 -1.4161 -0.2841
Ruins of Atlantis 98 67.35% -2.32% 0.61741 -0.9372 0.0867
Silver Gulch 1883 167 82.04% 3.99% 0.2131 -0.0959 0.3517
The Block 248 91.53% 8.84% 0.00023 0.4916 0.4635
The Celestial Tribunal 77 76.62% -1.31% 0.78119 -0.7624 -0.4369
The Court of Blood 90 83.33% 1.18% 0.77034 0.0925 0.1542
The Enclave of the Endlings 91 81.32% -2.14% 0.58262 -0.0735 -0.2805
The Final Wasteland 186 92.47% 7.52% 0.00411 1.0432 0.607
The Temple of Zhu Long 134 79.85% -2.89% 0.37616 0.5474 0.305
Time Cataclysm 85 82.35% 1.57% 0.71297 -0.0121 0.1686
Tomb of Anubis 97 70.10% -11.56% 0.00325 -0.6876 -0.4176
Wagner Mars Base 69 65.22% -16.19% 0.00055 -1.0392 -0.7711

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 585 70.26% +1.14% 0.55094
4 1123 74.71% -5.78% 0.0
5 2124 88.14% +5.03% 0.0

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 691
Villain Destroyed 3122
Environment Alternate Defeat 19

The Matriarch (Advanced)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 7 57.14% 3.06% 0.87095 -0.9834 -0.2563
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 13 69.23% 14.35% 0.29855 -0.6538 -0.4521
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 45.63% 0.35957 0.1644 0.6575
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 1 100.00% 46.91% 0.34719 0.1213 0.9131
Akash'Thriya 6 83.33% 28.34% 0.16297 -0.1608 -0.4258
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 1 0.00% -54.71% 0.27177 -0.4169 -0.8447
Argent Adept 3 66.67% 12.18% 0.6719 -0.3281 0.0753
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 4 100.00% 45.45% 0.06793 0.182 0.4587
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 5 80.00% 25.25% 0.25657 -0.1935 -0.1403
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 45.34% 0.19778 0.1692 0.2393
Benchmark 6 66.67% 12.10% 0.55151 -0.2519 -0.3029
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 4 100.00% 45.26% 0.06898 0.2185 -0.2769
Bunker 21 76.19% 22.08% 0.04232 -0.1308 0.6259
Bunker: Freedom Five 6 100.00% 45.30% 0.0258 0.3278 0.1993
Bunker: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 46.42% 0.35196 0.0441 0.558
Bunker: G.I. 12 50.00% -4.02% 0.77967 -1.274 -0.7311
Bunker: Termi-Nation 1 100.00% 50.07% 0.3166 0.0619 0.6341
Captain Cosmic 2 100.00% 45.63% 0.1951 0.256 0.9057
Captain Cosmic: Requital 2 100.00% 45.43% 0.19692 0.2157 0.2196
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 17 76.47% 21.92% 0.06955 -0.3468 -0.1043
Chrono-Ranger 18 83.33% 28.57% 0.01488 -0.4985 -0.5291
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 3 66.67% 12.12% 0.67335 -0.6881 -0.5309
Dr. Medico 16 93.75% 38.83% 0.0018 -0.0907 -0.2387
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 4 100.00% 45.25% 0.06904 0.1884 0.1905
Expatriette 28 92.86% 38.50% 4e-05 0.5655 1.0842
Expatriette: Dark Watch 9 55.56% 1.75% 0.91636 -0.4861 -0.1655
Fanatic 9 88.89% 34.34% 0.03856 0.1634 0.3155
Fanatic: Prime Warden 410 24.39% -29.78% 0.0 -0.8255 -0.8479
Fanatic: Redeemer 2 100.00% 45.53% 0.19606 0.1252 0.2575
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 3 33.33% -17.89% 0.53537 -0.9118 -0.5521
Guise 8 87.50% 33.03% 0.06069 0.0723 0.4887
Guise: Completionist 14 78.57% 24.25% 0.06853 0.0112 0.4525
Guise: Santa 3 100.00% 46.33% 0.10757 0.4139 0.7248
Haka 23 78.26% 23.70% 0.02242 -0.5569 -0.4408
Haka: Eternal 5 60.00% 5.32% 0.81103 -0.4202 -0.4623
Haka: Prime Warden 7 100.00% 46.47% 0.0137 0.5723 0.646
Haka: Xtreme PW 15 80.00% 25.45% 0.04775 0.1753 0.2046
Harpy 5 80.00% 25.45% 0.25312 -0.0207 0.2601
Harpy: Dark Watch 5 80.00% 26.03% 0.24286 -0.1201 -0.2517
Idealist 6 100.00% 45.81% 0.02432 0.3765 0.7426
Idealist: Super Sentai 1 100.00% 45.50% 0.36092 0.1644 0.4922
K.N.Y.F.E. 5 80.00% 25.44% 0.25324 -0.4134 -0.0567
La Comodora 8 75.00% 20.27% 0.24946 -0.0376 -0.071
La Comodora: Black Spot 2 100.00% 45.40% 0.1972 0.3816 0.2122
Legacy 66 89.39% 34.35% 0.0 0.4469 -0.2705
Legacy: Freedom Five 19 100.00% 44.39% 0.0001 1.0426 0.0554
Legacy: Greatest 39 92.31% 37.25% 0.0 0.4682 -0.3421
Legacy: Young 8 100.00% 45.28% 0.01008 0.4344 -0.1667
Lifeline 4 100.00% 45.34% 0.06854 0.369 0.2442
Lifeline: Blood Mage 9 100.00% 45.01% 0.00665 0.3299 -0.0658
Luminary 393 21.63% -32.90% 0.0 -0.357 -0.3399
Luminary: Heroic 1 100.00% 45.30% 0.36281 0.0326 0.0271
Mainstay 7 85.71% 31.16% 0.09776 -0.0489 -0.0554
Mr. Fixer 41 85.37% 30.83% 7e-05 0.262 0.4788
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 5 80.00% 28.00% 0.21019 -0.0491 0.1049
Naturalist 2 50.00% -4.98% 0.88736 -0.5605 -0.6807
Naturalist: Hunted 5 80.00% 24.79% 0.26499 -0.241 -0.6536
NightMist 15 86.67% 32.12% 0.01247 -0.1601 0.0409
Omnitron-X 16 87.50% 32.93% 0.00815 0.1243 0.0542
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 3 100.00% 45.29% 0.11502 0.1384 0.0344
Parse 4 75.00% 20.49% 0.41045 -0.3423 -0.0542
Parse: Fugue State 7 85.71% 30.84% 0.10106 -0.1243 -0.454
Ra 27 96.30% 41.62% 1e-05 0.8482 1.0512
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 1 100.00% 45.50% 0.36085 0.0825 0.2475
Ra: Setting Sun 3 100.00% 45.44% 0.11396 0.2986 0.061
Scholar 15 86.67% 32.00% 0.01279 0.4201 0.2478
Scholar: Of the Infinite 2 100.00% 45.17% 0.19929 0.2344 -0.2949
Sentinels 8 87.50% 32.61% 0.06384 0.4295 0.2374
Sentinels: Adamant 18 83.33% 28.13% 0.01639 0.2016 -0.3653
Setback 3 100.00% 45.77% 0.11156 0.3291 0.4853
Setback: Dark Watch 3 33.33% -17.04% 0.55497 -0.5998 0.1443
Sky-Scraper 7 85.71% 31.16% 0.09775 -0.0121 -0.1078
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 1 100.00% 45.34% 0.36239 0.0454 -0.2368
Stuntman 10 90.00% 35.45% 0.02437 0.2535 0.2452
Stuntman: Action Hero 8 100.00% 45.31% 0.01004 0.3534 -0.1325
Tachyon 13 100.00% 45.52% 0.00098 0.8696 1.1263
Tachyon: Freedom Five 15 80.00% 25.31% 0.04894 0.2844 0.2249
Tachyon: Freedom Six 73 95.89% 40.06% 0.0 1.2591 0.5499
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 16 87.50% 32.57% 0.00884 0.3087 -0.248
Tempest 43 90.70% 35.75% 0.0 0.1466 -0.0087
Tempest: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 47.88% 0.17529 0.2748 0.2821
Tempest: Prime Warden 22 90.91% 36.09% 0.00067 0.0372 -0.0854
Tempest: Xtreme PW 11 100.00% 45.45% 0.00247 0.5891 0.6125
Unity 8 75.00% 20.53% 0.2437 -0.325 0.1663
Unity: Freedom Six 7 100.00% 45.46% 0.01572 0.5285 0.8535
Unity: Termi-Nation 6 66.67% 12.44% 0.54079 -0.6146 -0.4777
Visionary 8 100.00% 45.45% 0.00983 0.4915 0.6206
Visionary: Dark 392 21.43% -33.19% 0.0 -0.4247 -0.3971
Visionary: Unleashed 5 80.00% 25.25% 0.25656 -0.1089 -0.1139
Wraith 23 91.30% 36.73% 0.0004 0.2625 0.397
Wraith: Freedom Five 10 80.00% 25.13% 0.11028 -0.2456 -0.4633
Wraith: Freedom Six 4 100.00% 45.43% 0.06801 0.3351 0.4562
Wraith: Rook City 1 100.00% 45.44% 0.36141 0.0459 0.1916
Writhe 5 80.00% 25.44% 0.25329 -0.1237 -0.1312
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 7 100.00% 45.13% 0.01643 0.2794 -0.2805

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 12 100.00% 45.41% 0.00158 0.698 0.388
Dok'Thorath Capital 5 80.00% 25.64% 0.24973 -0.0334 0.2706
Fort Adamant 9 100.00% 45.35% 0.00628 0.452 0.2816
Freedom Tower 19 78.95% 23.94% 0.03591 -0.1639 -0.3443
Insula Primalis 399 22.56% -31.99% 0.0 -0.5017 0.087
Madame Mittermeier's 4 75.00% 20.47% 0.41089 -0.1134 0.0621
Maerynian Refuge 12 75.00% 20.40% 0.15575 -0.3466 -0.5235
Megalopolis 3 100.00% 45.39% 0.11431 0.1893 0.4215
Mobile Defense Platform 23 82.61% 27.85% 0.00728 -0.1907 -0.3039
Mordengrad 2 50.00% -2.78% 0.9372 -0.5338 0.2981
Nexus of the Void 6 83.33% 27.84% 0.17001 0.1687 -0.3543
Omnitron-IV 1 100.00% 45.69% 0.35901 0.0822 0.5192
Pike Industrial Complex 7 85.71% 31.17% 0.09766 0.0112 0.222
Realm of Discord 6 83.33% 28.56% 0.1598 0.0228 0.072
Rook City 1 100.00% 50.74% 0.31016 0.0326 1.1646
Ruins of Atlantis 1 100.00% 47.24% 0.34405 0.0759 1.0998
Silver Gulch 1883 6 83.33% 28.86% 0.15573 -0.3384 0.1092
The Block 15 86.67% 31.90% 0.01305 -0.377 -0.405
The Celestial Tribunal 9 77.78% 23.31% 0.16025 -0.147 0.1785
The Court of Blood 8 100.00% 45.31% 0.01004 0.4485 0.5102
The Enclave of the Endlings 8 100.00% 45.11% 0.01035 0.4397 0.2327
The Final Wasteland 10 90.00% 34.79% 0.02696 0.0144 -0.4217
The Temple of Zhu Long 5 100.00% 45.23% 0.04216 0.3057 0.0633
Time Cataclysm 24 91.67% 37.11% 0.00026 0.1938 0.3745
Tomb of Anubis 3 66.67% 12.03% 0.67547 -0.1547 0.1153
Wagner Mars Base 8 75.00% 20.39% 0.24664 -0.0667 0.2015

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 402 22.14% -30.42% 0.0
4 82 87.80% +33.27% 0.0
5 124 87.90% +33.07% 0.0

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 336
Villain Destroyed 270
Environment Alternate Defeat 2

The Matriarch (Challenge)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 3 66.67% -8.63% 0.72885 -0.3931 0.334
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 3 100.00% 15.93% 0.45094 0.1867 0.3884
Akash'Thriya 2 50.00% -34.59% 0.1754 -0.3807 -0.6457
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 3 100.00% 16.87% 0.43519 0.116 -0.3117
Argent Adept 15 80.00% -1.51% 0.88006 -0.079 0.3245
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 3 100.00% 16.64% 0.43896 0.1663 0.2196
Benchmark 1 100.00% 17.85% 0.6411 0.124 0.073
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 4 75.00% -8.33% 0.65494 -0.3386 -0.834
Bunker 2 100.00% 24.50% 0.42045 0.1548 0.9115
Bunker: Freedom Five 1 100.00% 16.93% 0.65168 0.0326 -0.096
Bunker: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 27.23% 0.54071 0.1159 0.6298
Bunker: G.I. 6 66.67% -8.26% 0.64061 -0.347 0.196
Captain Cosmic 13 61.54% -17.77% 0.11373 -0.8017 -0.1521
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 1 100.00% 44.65% 0.36909 0.1159 1.2098
Captain Cosmic: Requital 1 100.00% 17.80% 0.64172 0.0928 0.0967
Chrono-Ranger 8 100.00% 16.54% 0.20799 0.5388 0.5082
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 2 100.00% 17.96% 0.50812 0.3791 0.5363
Dr. Medico 10 100.00% 15.76% 0.17143 0.3805 0.2325
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 7 42.86% -40.54% 0.00395 -1.2018 -1.1997
Expatriette 4 75.00% -3.57% 0.86204 -0.3709 0.1479
Expatriette: Dark Watch 8 87.50% 13.72% 0.3776 -0.0069 0.3137
Fanatic 15 80.00% -2.06% 0.83543 0.0852 0.2373
Fanatic: Redeemer 2 100.00% 18.65% 0.49832 0.2518 0.3841
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 2 50.00% -16.19% 0.62827 -0.4614 -0.1017
Guise: Completionist 1 100.00% 22.43% 0.59072 0.0928 0.5341
Guise: Santa 1 100.00% 26.85% 0.54461 0.0155 0.3264
Haka 21 80.95% -1.16% 0.88984 -0.0655 0.0507
Haka: Eternal 6 83.33% 0.38% 0.98022 0.0011 -0.0411
Haka: Prime Warden 2 100.00% 27.42% 0.38466 0.0414 0.1151
Haka: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 17.94% 0.50839 0.1607 0.19
Harpy 1 100.00% 17.93% 0.64023 0.0538 0.3347
Harpy: Dark Watch 5 80.00% 5.40% 0.78132 -0.2479 -0.3794
Idealist 2 100.00% 23.88% 0.42827 0.2539 0.6199
Idealist: Super Sentai 1 0.00% -81.66% 0.03484 -0.3482 -0.0204
K.N.Y.F.E. 5 60.00% -22.13% 0.19654 -0.5111 -0.1544
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 3 66.67% -14.65% 0.51489 -0.1165 0.1368
La Comodora 4 100.00% 16.72% 0.37026 0.3087 0.2753
La Comodora: Black Spot 2 100.00% 17.56% 0.51396 0.1671 -0.0023
Legacy 36 91.67% 6.88% 0.25047 0.348 -0.3695
Legacy: Freedom Five 11 90.91% 4.13% 0.68602 0.2106 -0.7765
Legacy: Greatest 8 100.00% 15.17% 0.23167 0.5525 -0.2578
Legacy: Young 13 69.23% -13.97% 0.17802 -0.3781 -0.9792
Lifeline 4 75.00% -7.85% 0.67685 -0.2907 -0.4155
Lifeline: Blood Mage 3 66.67% -17.90% 0.39064 -0.402 -0.7977
Luminary 4 100.00% 18.17% 0.34604 0.2113 0.2283
Luminary: Heroic 3 66.67% -16.43% 0.44773 -0.353 -0.3584
Mainstay 5 100.00% 17.93% 0.29596 0.2829 0.2763
Mainstay: Road Warrior 2 100.00% 18.38% 0.50221 0.2338 0.501
Mr. Fixer 10 100.00% 18.05% 0.13776 0.4482 0.6649
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 2 100.00% 32.01% 0.33188 0.1742 0.3282
Naturalist 2 100.00% 15.47% 0.54517 0.1516 0.0314
Naturalist: Hunted 4 100.00% 14.55% 0.40918 0.1635 -0.249
NightMist 4 50.00% -32.00% 0.09582 -0.8329 -0.632
NightMist: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 36.68% 0.44659 0.0588 0.8431
Omnitron-X 1 100.00% 17.80% 0.64165 0.038 -0.0321
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 1 100.00% 16.87% 0.65236 0.0151 -0.0889
Parse 3 100.00% 18.33% 0.41197 0.1397 0.4278
Ra 14 92.86% 9.92% 0.32381 0.0197 0.2228
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 1 100.00% 18.41% 0.63483 0.0269 0.1919
Ra: Setting Sun 2 50.00% -32.15% 0.23518 -0.5013 -0.739
Scholar 6 100.00% 17.10% 0.26589 0.1965 0.0242
Scholar: Of the Infinite 5 100.00% 16.19% 0.32575 0.4396 -0.0897
Sentinels 12 75.00% -9.13% 0.38685 -0.1102 -0.3023
Setback 3 33.33% -43.11% 0.07842 -0.4693 -0.313
Setback: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 35.55% 0.45769 0.0588 0.8029
Sky-Scraper 3 100.00% 17.93% 0.41813 0.1605 0.0648
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 2 100.00% 17.18% 0.51953 0.2002 -0.082
Stuntman 5 60.00% -22.08% 0.19801 -0.698 -0.7063
Stuntman: Action Hero 5 100.00% 16.95% 0.31246 0.1483 -0.3376
Tachyon 4 100.00% 18.57% 0.33955 0.1999 0.4566
Tachyon: Freedom Five 2 100.00% 16.96% 0.52276 0.0617 0.0022
Tachyon: Freedom Six 19 100.00% 12.59% 0.09813 0.6141 -0.0952
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 16 75.00% -9.29% 0.30688 -0.1818 -0.7385
Tempest 32 81.25% -3.11% 0.62855 -0.5361 -0.6914
Tempest: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 31.71% 0.49557 0.1056 0.1129
Tempest: Prime Warden 4 100.00% 16.27% 0.37797 0.1381 0.0156
Tempest: Xtreme PW 3 100.00% 17.92% 0.41828 0.4176 0.441
Unity 10 70.00% -11.35% 0.35661 -0.213 0.2784
Unity: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 18.02% 0.63921 0.0911 0.4161
Unity: Termi-Nation 4 100.00% 23.58% 0.26661 0.3173 0.4542
Visionary 3 66.67% -15.40% 0.487 -0.4801 -0.3511
Visionary: Dark 5 80.00% -2.54% 0.8812 -0.1281 -0.1005
Visionary: Unleashed 2 100.00% 16.64% 0.52742 0.141 0.1361
Wraith 8 100.00% 17.79% 0.1883 0.3775 0.512
Wraith: Freedom Five 4 100.00% 15.99% 0.38287 0.2935 0.0758
Wraith: Freedom Six 3 100.00% 17.81% 0.42013 0.174 0.2951
Wraith: Rook City 1 100.00% 17.90% 0.64056 0.1056 0.2513
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 2 100.00% 15.97% 0.5375 0.1875 -0.3724

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 5 80.00% -2.34% 0.89074 -0.066 -0.3761
Dok'Thorath Capital 6 66.67% -11.90% 0.47768 -0.4679 -0.1639
Fort Adamant 6 83.33% 0.57% 0.97067 0.0618 -0.1085
Freedom Tower 11 100.00% 15.38% 0.15734 0.5741 0.3937
Insula Primalis 6 100.00% 17.95% 0.25198 0.2844 0.8731
Madame Mittermeier's 8 75.00% -6.85% 0.61506 0.2501 0.4256
Maerynian Refuge 5 60.00% -22.42% 0.18781 -0.4324 -0.6093
Magmaria 1 100.00% 17.73% 0.64245 0.146 0.0671
Megalopolis 2 100.00% 17.50% 0.51481 0.0784 0.3106
Mobile Defense Platform 6 83.33% -0.08% 0.99574 -0.3455 -0.4586
Mordengrad 2 50.00% -20.06% 0.53562 -0.4394 0.3925
Nexus of the Void 5 80.00% -6.42% 0.67523 0.0329 -0.4901
Omnitron-IV 1 100.00% 22.65% 0.58844 0.1818 0.6187
Pike Industrial Complex 4 100.00% 18.00% 0.34868 0.3029 0.5137
Realm of Discord 11 72.73% -10.76% 0.33629 -0.2524 -0.2032
Rook City 1 100.00% 37.63% 0.43732 0.094 1.226
Ruins of Atlantis 2 100.00% 29.99% 0.35461 0.0533 1.0772
Silver Gulch 1883 5 100.00% 18.66% 0.28413 0.2175 0.6651
The Block 7 85.71% 2.25% 0.87263 -0.2348 -0.2629
The Celestial Tribunal 4 50.00% -31.29% 0.10865 -0.2393 0.0862
The Court of Blood 2 100.00% 16.96% 0.52267 0.2156 0.2772
The Enclave of the Endlings 1 100.00% 15.88% 0.66391 0.0669 -0.1401
The Final Wasteland 3 100.00% 14.54% 0.47492 0.3246 -0.1116
The Temple of Zhu Long 3 100.00% 16.49% 0.44144 0.1525 -0.0899
Time Cataclysm 3 100.00% 17.91% 0.41848 0.0629 0.2436
Wagner Mars Base 1 0.00% -82.49% 0.03 -0.6141 -0.3459

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 30 66.67% -2.77% 0.74185
4 29 82.76% +0.83% 0.90792
5 55 92.73% +8.91% 0.0727

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 17
Villain Destroyed 95
Environment Alternate Defeat 2

The Matriarch (Ultimate)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 6 83.33% -4.25% 0.75255 -0.3744 0.3527
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 11 72.73% -16.91% 0.0658 -0.8702 -0.6685
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 11.63% 0.60784 0.0597 0.5528
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 2 100.00% 16.26% 0.53324 0.0567 0.8486
Akash'Thriya 6 66.67% -23.22% 0.05914 -0.4082 -0.6732
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 7 100.00% 10.78% 0.35774 0.2809 -0.1468
Argent Adept 6 100.00% 11.31% 0.38163 0.1897 0.5932
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 9 100.00% 11.16% 0.28775 0.3376 0.6143
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 24 91.67% 2.35% 0.70908 -0.2157 -0.1624
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 4 100.00% 10.88% 0.48467 0.0804 0.1505
Benchmark 8 62.50% -26.37% 0.01773 -0.7767 -0.8277
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 9 100.00% 10.70% 0.29911 0.3181 -0.1773
Bunker: Freedom Five 11 81.82% -7.38% 0.43044 -0.6532 -0.7818
Bunker: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 14.07% 0.6858 0.0226 0.5365
Bunker: G.I. 9 100.00% 12.59% 0.2548 0.4649 1.0078
Bunker: Termi-Nation 5 60.00% -6.72% 0.74986 -0.5352 0.037
Captain Cosmic 1 100.00% 11.63% 0.71675 0.0226 0.6722
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 3 100.00% 42.74% 0.13453 0.1498 1.2437
Captain Cosmic: Requital 3 100.00% 11.11% 0.54022 0.1181 0.122
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 11.15% 0.72314 0.0283 0.2707
Chrono-Ranger 25 88.00% -1.36% 0.82574 0.0206 -0.0101
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 5 80.00% -8.83% 0.53058 -0.4403 -0.2831
Dr. Medico 19 100.00% 10.28% 0.14001 0.3638 0.2158
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 3 100.00% 10.67% 0.54944 0.0614 0.0635
Expatriette 4 100.00% 11.65% 0.46774 0.2296 0.7483
Expatriette: Dark Watch 30 96.67% 9.93% 0.10877 0.188 0.5086
Fanatic 7 100.00% 11.16% 0.34838 0.1779 0.33
Fanatic: Prime Warden 8 100.00% 12.17% 0.29251 0.175 0.1526
Fanatic: Redeemer 7 100.00% 11.35% 0.34369 0.1712 0.3035
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 11 90.91% 20.71% 0.13315 0.0752 0.4349
Guise 5 100.00% 11.35% 0.42356 0.1176 0.534
Guise: Santa 2 100.00% 13.74% 0.57252 0.0366 0.3475
Haka 54 92.59% 3.74% 0.3829 -0.0166 0.0996
Haka: Eternal 6 100.00% 10.85% 0.39283 0.1384 0.0962
Haka: Prime Warden 4 100.00% 14.25% 0.41497 0.0892 0.163
Haka: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 11.16% 0.61619 0.07 0.0993
Harpy 4 100.00% 11.16% 0.47851 0.2918 0.5727
Harpy: Dark Watch 22 86.36% -0.87% 0.9026 -0.5768 -0.7084
Idealist 7 57.14% -30.75% 0.01263 -0.8306 -0.4645
Idealist: Super Sentai 1 100.00% 11.27% 0.72149 0.1462 0.474
K.N.Y.F.E. 5 100.00% 11.14% 0.42856 0.0971 0.4538
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 9 100.00% 11.36% 0.2828 0.1821 0.4354
La Comodora 22 95.45% 6.17% 0.34943 0.1356 0.1022
La Comodora: Black Spot 7 57.14% -31.82% 0.00721 -0.9851 -1.1546
Legacy 119 95.80% 5.81% 0.03482 0.5543 -0.1631
Legacy: Freedom Five 39 89.74% -1.41% 0.75588 -0.1348 -1.122
Legacy: Greatest 46 100.00% 9.99% 0.02389 0.8058 -0.0045
Legacy: Young 6 100.00% 10.75% 0.39522 0.2139 -0.3872
Lifeline 14 85.71% -3.40% 0.68304 -0.3126 -0.4375
Lifeline: Blood Mage 5 60.00% -29.88% 0.02674 -0.4802 -0.8759
Luminary 6 100.00% 11.23% 0.38371 0.2434 0.2604
Luminary: Heroic 4 100.00% 10.79% 0.48663 0.271 0.2655
Mainstay 11 72.73% -16.12% 0.08954 -0.7031 -0.7097
Mainstay: Road Warrior 3 100.00% 11.28% 0.53674 0.1936 0.4608
Mr. Fixer 30 100.00% 11.19% 0.05183 0.6064 0.8231
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 4 100.00% 26.90% 0.22507 0.1229 0.2769
Naturalist 1 100.00% 10.14% 0.73691 0.025 -0.0952
Naturalist: Hunted 14 78.57% -11.78% 0.13542 -0.8527 -1.2653
NightMist 12 100.00% 11.18% 0.21908 0.5066 0.7076
NightMist: Dark Watch 2 100.00% 33.62% 0.31419 0.1326 0.9169
Omnitron-X 22 100.00% 11.12% 0.09716 0.5539 0.4838
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 4 100.00% 10.78% 0.48695 0.1565 0.0526
Parse 4 75.00% -13.73% 0.38526 -0.4628 -0.1747
Parse: Fugue State 17 100.00% 10.39% 0.16037 0.4183 0.0887
Ra 39 92.31% 3.16% 0.52548 -0.1616 0.0414
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 5 100.00% 11.29% 0.42498 0.2304 0.3954
Ra: Setting Sun 10 100.00% 11.13% 0.26303 0.2598 0.0222
Scholar 38 92.11% 2.98% 0.55568 -0.1349 -0.3072
Scholar: Of the Infinite 7 100.00% 10.49% 0.36516 0.3394 -0.1899
Sentinels 10 100.00% 10.34% 0.28289 0.3141 0.122
Sentinels: Adamant 3 100.00% 9.67% 0.57101 0.1124 -0.4544
Setback 1 100.00% 12.00% 0.71187 0.0123 0.1686
Setback: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 32.18% 0.49089 0.0775 0.8216
Sky-Scraper 11 72.73% -16.12% 0.08958 -0.6789 -0.7745
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 4 100.00% 10.90% 0.48424 0.1349 -0.1473
Stuntman 10 60.00% -28.85% 0.00376 -1.5992 -1.6075
Stuntman: Action Hero 21 100.00% 10.81% 0.11063 0.3443 -0.1417
Tachyon 6 66.67% -22.00% 0.08917 -0.8401 -0.5834
Tachyon: Freedom Five 10 90.00% 0.81% 0.93389 0.0641 0.0047
Tachyon: Freedom Six 135 97.78% 6.21% 0.00944 0.9666 0.2574
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 37 97.30% 7.56% 0.12984 0.2992 -0.2575
Tempest 60 93.33% 3.56% 0.36265 -0.4034 -0.5587
Tempest: Freedom Six 21 95.24% 21.57% 0.02483 0.087 0.0943
Tempest: Prime Warden 15 100.00% 10.52% 0.18409 0.3163 0.1938
Tempest: Xtreme PW 6 100.00% 11.15% 0.38543 0.1743 0.1977
Unity 2 50.00% -38.65% 0.08493 -0.3397 0.1517
Unity: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 11.18% 0.61579 0.1552 0.4801
Unity: Termi-Nation 5 100.00% 12.01% 0.4087 0.128 0.2649
Visionary 11 90.91% 2.07% 0.82758 -0.005 0.124
Visionary: Dark 18 94.44% 5.45% 0.46022 -0.2701 -0.2424
Visionary: Unleashed 10 100.00% 10.69% 0.27401 0.3585 0.3536
Wraith 21 95.24% 6.35% 0.35451 -0.0916 0.0429
Wraith: Freedom Five 15 93.33% 3.73% 0.63603 0.1728 -0.0449
Wraith: Freedom Six 14 100.00% 11.12% 0.18572 0.2707 0.3918
Wraith: Rook City 2 100.00% 11.15% 0.61644 0.1519 0.2975
Writhe 5 60.00% -28.87% 0.04013 -0.5528 -0.5603
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 6 100.00% 10.39% 0.40431 0.3085 -0.2514

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 11 100.00% 11.07% 0.24196 0.5129 0.2029
Dok'Thorath Capital 4 100.00% 11.65% 0.46773 0.4066 0.7106
Fort Adamant 9 100.00% 10.92% 0.29356 0.3633 0.1929
Freedom Tower 28 100.00% 10.10% 0.07619 0.521 0.3406
Insula Primalis 21 95.24% 6.40% 0.35168 -0.0967 0.4919
Madame Mittermeier's 6 100.00% 11.22% 0.38383 0.1697 0.3452
Maerynian Refuge 10 90.00% 1.04% 0.91622 -0.2892 -0.4662
Magmaria 12 83.33% -5.57% 0.53876 -0.5662 -0.6451
Megalopolis 7 100.00% 11.02% 0.35191 0.3475 0.5797
Mobile Defense Platform 13 84.62% -4.72% 0.58111 -0.6909 -0.8041
Nexus of the Void 7 100.00% 9.07% 0.40336 0.2989 -0.2241
Omnitron-IV 3 100.00% 11.79% 0.52658 0.0997 0.5367
Pike Industrial Complex 31 87.10% -1.72% 0.76061 -0.646 -0.4352
Realm of Discord 14 78.57% -10.80% 0.18984 -0.6352 -0.586
Rook City 6 83.33% 18.11% 0.35154 -0.2561 0.8759
Ruins of Atlantis 7 100.00% 18.68% 0.20473 0.2495 1.2734
Silver Gulch 1883 13 100.00% 11.36% 0.19685 0.3094 0.757
The Block 15 93.33% 3.97% 0.61766 -0.0824 -0.1104
The Celestial Tribunal 4 100.00% 11.37% 0.47379 0.1284 0.4538
The Court of Blood 7 100.00% 10.82% 0.35683 0.5189 0.5805
The Enclave of the Endlings 1 100.00% 10.34% 0.73411 0.0202 -0.1869
The Final Wasteland 20 85.00% -5.36% 0.41691 -0.3824 -0.8185
The Temple of Zhu Long 20 100.00% 10.62% 0.12314 0.4544 0.2121
Time Cataclysm 6 83.33% -5.52% 0.66774 -0.3813 -0.2006
Tomb of Anubis 6 100.00% 10.96% 0.39023 0.0938 0.3637
Wagner Mars Base 2 100.00% 11.02% 0.61869 0.2158 0.484

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 27 81.48% +4.77% 0.55763
4 70 92.86% +4.06% 0.28195
5 199 94.47% +4.96% 0.02243

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 19
Villain Destroyed 275
Environment Alternate Defeat 2

Notes

Deviation

The difference between the actual win rate of this combination of elements and the win rates of each of those elements on their own, averaged. A positive value means that this combination results in a win more often than would be expected.

Chi-Square p-value

This is the significance value of a χ² test comparing the observed data and expected value. In most cases, this expected value is the mean of the win rates of each element. For team position, the expected value is an equal likelihood of winning in all positions. Lower p-values (no greater than 0.01) mean a greater likelihood that the difference is meaningful and not due to chance.

Logistic Regression Coefficient

Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game, considering only games when 236 is present. The number on the right compares this model to the global one (counting all games); positive numbers suggests that this hero/villain/environment results in a win more often when 236 is present than otherwise, and vice-versa.